Statistics & probability

At least one success in independent trials calculator

Use the complement to find the chance of one or more successes.

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Your result

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Enter your inputs and select Calculate.

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Behind the numbers

How this calculation works

The complementary event requires every trial to fail. Independence allows their failure probabilities to be multiplied.

THE FORMULA1 − (1−p)ⁿ

A worked example

With three trials at p = 0.2, no successes has probability 0.512, leaving 0.488.

Good to know

Trials must be independent with the same success probability.

Read the result

Use the complement to find the chance of one or more successes.

The primary result is labeled “Probability of at least one”. Keep the input definitions in view when comparing this result with another method.

Try a related calculation

Trials must be independent with the same success probability.

For a related exercise, try the statistics calculator.

A few questions, answered

How can I check the default inputs by hand?

With three trials at p = 0.2, no successes has probability 0.512, leaving 0.488.

Which rule does this calculator apply?

1 − (1−p)ⁿ

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