Statistics & probability

Exact binomial upper bound after zero events calculator

Find an exact one-sided upper risk bound when no trials had the event.

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How this calculation works

Find an exact one-sided upper risk bound when no trials had the event.

THE FORMULAp_upper=1−(1−confidence)^(1/n)

A worked example

Zero events in 100 trials give an upper 95% bound of about 2.95%.

Good to know

Trials must be independent with a shared event probability.

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Find an exact one-sided upper risk bound when no trials had the event.

The primary result is labeled “One-sided upper probability”. Keep the input definitions in view when comparing this result with another method.

Try a related calculation

Trials must be independent with a shared event probability.

For a related exercise, try the statistics calculator.

A few questions, answered

How can I check the default inputs by hand?

Zero events in 100 trials give an upper 95% bound of about 2.95%.

Which rule does this calculator apply?

p_upper=1−(1−confidence)^(1/n)

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