Expected Value Calculator | Find the Mean of a Probability Distribution

Expected Value Calculator

High School Expected Value Calculator

Calculate the long-run average value of a discrete random variable.

Data Table

Outcome (x)Prob P(x)Action

Results

Expected Value E[X]

Variance (σ²)

Std Dev (σ)

Probability Distribution

Probability Mass
Expected Value (Mean)
Balance Point

Using the Expected Value Calculator

The concept of Expected Value (often denoted as E[X] or μ) is central to probability theory and statistics. Fundamentally, it represents the average outcome of a random variable over a large number of experiments. Furthermore, you can think of it as a “weighted average” where each possible outcome is weighted by its probability of occurring.

The Formula

For a discrete random variable X with possible outcomes x₁, x₂, …, xₙ and corresponding probabilities P(x₁), P(x₂), …, P(xₙ):

$$ E[X] = \sum_{i=1}^{n} x_i \cdot P(x_i) $$

In practice, this means you multiply each outcome by its probability and subsequently sum all the products together.

Why use an Expected Value Calculator?

Calculating weighted averages manually is tedious, especially when checking if probabilities sum to 1 or when calculating Variance. Fortunately, this tool handles the arithmetic instantly. More importantly, it visualizes the Expected Value as the “Center of Mass.” For instance, if you placed weights on a seesaw corresponding to the probabilities at their respective x-locations, the Expected Value is exactly where the fulcrum must be placed to balance the seesaw.

FAQ

Is this Expected Value Calculator free?

Yes, this tool is completely free for students, teachers, and anyone studying statistics.

What if probabilities don’t sum to 1?

Probabilities must sum to 1 (100%) to be valid. If they don’t, this calculator will automatically “normalize” them relative to their total sum so you can still see the distribution shape.

Can the Expected Value Calculator predict the future?

No. Expected Value predicts the average over the long run. In a single event, you will get one of the specific outcomes, not necessarily the Expected Value itself.

What is Variance?

Variance measures how spread out the data is from the Expected Value. A high variance means outcomes are widely scattered; low variance means they are clustered near the average.

HIGHER SCHOOL